应经济与管理学院金融系李嵩松副教授邀请，美国美国威斯康星大学普拉特维尔分校商学院Abdol S. Soofi教授将于2019年6月10日至6月19日访问我院，并开设讲座与学术交流研讨会，时间地点内容如下：
6月11日（周二）9：00 - 10：30 科学园 2H 117教室
题目：Economic Planning, the Law of Value, and Economic Restructuring in China: 1953-1978
摘要：The proposed talk will deal with economic policies, development, and restructuring in China during 1953-1978. The talk, which is based on Prof. Soofi’s research on the subject of the structural imbalances in China’s economy, focuses on the reasons why the law of value that is supposed to establish the general equilibrium condition and optimal resource allocation in the economy failed in China’s commodity-producing, albeit socialist economy prior to the economic reforms that began in 1978.
6月12日（周三）9：00 – 10：30 科学园 2H 117教室
题目：The Declining China’s GDP Growth Rate and Secular Stagnation
摘要：The average rate of economic growth in China since 2012 has been roughly three times higher than the average rate of economic growth of 2% of the advanced industrial economies. Nevertheless, China’s GDP growth rate had decreased substantially over this period. During 1980 and 2017 the average rate of economic growth in China was approximately 9.5%. However, compared to the average growth rate of 9.5% the GDP growth rate dropped by 24%, 28%, and 32% in 2012, 2013, and 2014, respectively. The growth rates were 7.2% in 2012, 6.8% in 2013, and 6.4% in 2014. The new growth rates are considered “new normal” by many analysts.
In this talk, Prof. Soofi will discuss his research that aims to gain a better understanding of the underlying causes of declining economic performance of China over the last several years. The falling rate of economic growth may be due to the tendency of rapidly growing economies that eventually experience slower growth rate because of secular stagnation or decreasing productivity over the medium term. China’s government restructuring policy to address the overcapacity of many strategic industrial sectors in China may have also contributed to the declining growth rate.
6月13日（周四）9：00 - 10：30科学园 2H 117教室
题目：Nonlinear Deterministic Dynamics and Finance
摘要：Interdependence of economies in general and financial markets in particular has always played an important role in decision analysis, however, in the era of financial and capital account liberalization the issue has become more prominent.
The methodological problems in assessing the degree of financial integration or the degree of cross-country interdependence of the financial markets lead us to search for powerful tools from nonlinear dynamical systems theories that were developed to test for the extent of synchronization of nonlinear systems with little a priori knowledge of their underlying dynamics.
It turns out that a major strand of research on nonlinear dynamical systems of recent years deals with the issue of interdependence of dynamical systems, and asks the following important question: Given the time series data for two dynamical systems, and without a knowledge of the exact nature of their underlying dynamics, to what extent, if at all, does one system influences the behavior of the second system?
In answering this question, Schiff, et al. (1996) and Pecora et al. (1996) developed tests for dynamical interdependence in bivariate time-series data. These techniques have found many applications in natural and physical sciences, but their use in financial economics is rare or nonexistent.
In the proposed talk, Prof. Soofi will present the empirical results based on applying surrogate data analysis and Schiff et al. method of mutual prediction in testing for interdependence of the stock markets.
6月15日（周六）9：00 - 10：30科学园 2H 117教室
题目：Macroeconomics of an open economy
摘要：General equilibrium analysis of products and money markets in an open economy.
6月17日（周一）9：00 - 10：30 科学园 2H 117教室
摘要：The lecture deals with money, banking and monetary theories of different schools of thought.
6月17日（周一）10：30 - 12：00 科学园 2H 117教室
题目：Exchange rate Economics
摘要：Balance of payments, international transactions, and exchange rate determination.
Abdol S. Soofi教授目前为美国威斯康星大学普拉特维尔分校商学院教授，研究领域包括产业结构调整、国家创新体系、跨境并购、股票市场之间的非线性相互依存、新兴经济体的技术管理等，出版专著5本，在顶尖期刊上发表论文近50篇，担任Journal of Science and Technology Policy Management, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Economic and Political Studies, Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, International Journal of Scientific and Statistical Computing, International Journal of Energy and Statistics, Global Business and Economics Review等顶尖期刊资深主编，担任Journal of Economic Studies, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Journal of Applied Statistics等23家顶尖期刊审稿人。